Portal to safety
Wednesday, 29.03.2023, 19:03
Welcome Guest | RSS
Main RegistrationLogin
Site menu
Section categories
Earthquakes [126]
Seismic event occurred, analysis, forecast
Volcanoes [5]
volcanic eruptions, analysis, forecast
Floods [3]
Floods, analysis, forecast
Fires [0]
Fires, analysis, forecast
Drought [0]
Drought, analysis, forecast
Hurricanes [4]
Hurricanes, analysis, forecast
Economic crises [3]
Economic crises, analysis, forecast
Tsunami [6]
Tsunamis, analysis, forecast
Atmospheric anomalies [0]
Atmospheric anomalies, analysis, forecast
Man-made disasters [0]
Man-made disasters
Plane crash [0]
Plane crash
Projections, forecasts [15]

Our poll
Rate my site
Total of answers: 4

Total online: 1
Guests: 1
Users: 0


Amfibi Web Search & Directory

Flag Counter
Login form

Main » 2013 » February » 28 » Earthquake deaths predicted to soar.
Earthquake deaths predicted to soar.
With populations growing in the world's earthquake-prone regions, catastrophic quakes will kill more people during this century than ever before, scientists at the U.S. Geological Survey warn.

Thomas L. Holzer, an engineering geologist at the survey's Menlo Park offices, and James Savage, a retired survey seismologist, estimate that 21 earthquakes with death tolls greater than 50,000 - the kind they term "catastrophic" - will occur around the world before the end of this century, while only seven such killer quakes were recorded during the 20th century.

"It's not that we're having more earthquakes, it's that more people are living in seismically vulnerable buildings in the world's earthquake zones," Holzer said.

Earthquake fatalities around the world will reach at least 3.5 million in the 21st century - more than double the 1.5 million in the 20th century, the scientists forecast.

"And unless we take this issue of vulnerable buildings seriously, we're going to see even more catastrophes before the end of this century," Holzer said.

The current century began "most ominously," the scientists noted, when at least 700,000 people died in just seven deadly quakes within the first 10 years - an unprecedented decade of catastrophe, they reported.
The scientists based their forecast on U.N. estimates that the world's population will reach 10 billion by the end of this century. They combined that number with historic records of earthquake-prone regions where building standards are known to be weakest. Fatalities from major quakes have been estimated as far back as A.D. 1500, and modern records of quake deaths are known to be reasonably accurate.

"California and Japan have shown slow progress in designing quake resistance in their buildings," Holzer noted. "But in countries like China and Iran, and all along the front region of the Himalayan range, entire cities from Kathmandu to Delhi are particularly vulnerable to catastrophic quakes."

Their statistical study is published in the current issue of Earthquake Spectra, the journal of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, a national organization operating out of Oakland.

"There is no question that we are currently seeing a rapid increase in the number of catastrophes from earthquakes," said Richard Allen, director of UC Berkeley's Earthquake Engineering Laboratory, who was not involved in the study. "Therefore, we should not be complacent about the earthquake risks we face in the coming decades and ensure that we are taking reasonable actions to push back on the increasing trend in the 
number of fatalities."

Read more.
Category: Earthquakes | Views: 1232 | Added by: Andrey-Andreev | Tags: Earthquake deaths predicted, earthquake-prone regions, Earthquake | Rating: 0.0/0
Total comments: 0
Related Content...

  • Series of earthquakes in Southern California, August 26, 2012. Analysis. Forecast.
  • Series of earthquakes in the British Virgin Islands, August 29, 2012. Analysis. Forecast.
  • Earthquake off the Antarctic Circle, Oct. 9, 2012. Analysis, prediction.
  • A series of earthquakes in the Virgin Islands, Oct. 9, 2012. Analysis, prediction.
  • Earthquake in Hawaii, June 5, 2013. Information prognosis.
  • An earthquake in northern Italy, June 21, 2013. Information prognosis.
  • Seismology: Quake catcher. Joanne Baker.
  • Seismic Data Set Could Improve Earthquake Forecasting.
  • Earthquake in Taiwan on February 6, 2016. The magnitude 6.3.
  • 台“地震对2016年2月6日的6.3级。

  • Only registered users can add comments.
    [ Registration | Login ]

    Earthquake prediction 2016

    Earthquake Forecasting Service - EFS

    «  February 2013  »
    Entries archive
    Site friends
  • Create a free website
  • Cosmological portal security © 2023

    Projections placed on Cosmological Security Portal - are experimental, advisory in nature.

    The sponsors are not responsible for the accuracy of the forecasts, and the possible negative consequences resulting from the use site information.
    Create a free website with uCoz